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NatWest’s Q1 Bounce: 36% Profit Surge

NatWest Up
NatWest Up

NatWest Group has set the stage for a promising 2023 with a stellar first-quarter performance, highlighting the resilience of UK banking.

Reporting a £1.3 billion profit in Q1—a 36% year-over-year surge—NatWest has outperformed consensus forecasts of £1.1 billion. Improved net interest margins, diversified fee income, and disciplined cost control have driven this standout result.

Key Drivers of NatWest’s Q1 Beat

NatWest’s outperformance stems from rising interest rates widening loan spreads, combined with tight expense management and a balanced revenue mix that cushions against market swings.

Net Interest Margin Expansion

The bank’s NIM increased 10 bps to 2.15% thanks to Bank of England rate hikes. Further margin gains seem likely if policy makers maintain a firm stance on inflation.

Revenue Breakdown

Net interest income climbed 15% to £3.1 billion, while fees and commissions rose 5% to £800 million. This dual strength underscores NatWest’s diversified business model.

Consensus-Beating Performance

Analysts had pencilled in £1.1 billion in Q1 profits. By delivering £1.3 billion, NatWest has underlined its resilience amid economic uncertainties.

Sector Implications

NatWest’s results set a benchmark for UK banks, highlighting that institutions combining NIM growth with stable fee income can outperform peers in turbulent times.

Three Defensive Bank Stocks to Watch

Lloyds Banking Group (LLOY)

With strong UK mortgage exposure and rigorous credit control, Lloyds offers reliable earnings and attractive dividends for conservative portfolios.

HSBC Holdings (HSBA)

HSBC’s global diversification and Asian operations provide insulation from regional downturns, making it a defensive cornerstone for international exposure.

Barclays PLC (BARC)

Barclays balances retail banking with investment banking revenues, offering diversified income streams that bolster stability in mixed market conditions.

Portfolio Rotation Ideas

Rotate from Bonds to Bank Equities

With NIM visibility improving, shifting allocations from lower-yield corporate bonds into select bank stocks like NatWest and Lloyds may enhance income and capital returns.

Diversify Across Global Banks

Pair UK-focused names with globally integrated banks such as HSBC to mitigate single-market risks and capture broader sector dynamics.

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Mr. Oliver Kensington
Mr. Oliver Kensington
Commodities Specialist
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